Electricity Supply

» Current consumption and trends

» Renewable Energy & Energy Efficienct potentials in Egypt's electricity sector

» Decision making

» Prices & cost, policies and regulations

» International cooperation projects



» Current consumption and trends

Egyptian electricity generation has according to the annual report of the Egyptian Electricity Holding Company (EHC) in 2007/2008 reached over 125 TWh. More than 65 TWh were produced in steam power plants, mostly dual fired and using mostly natural gas.  The steam power capacity is constant. Combined cycle (CC) gas power stations contributed 33 TWh. Gas turbines, running on natural gas or light fuel oil contributed almost 10 TWh. In hydropower stations mainly at the High Dam in Aswan 15 TWh were generated and from wind power, mainly at Zafarana, another 0.8 TWh.
Hydropower is still significant but cannot be expanded. The only significant capacity expansions are from investment in high efficient CC and wind power. In the thermal power stations CC, steam and gas,  about 23 Mtoe of fossil fuel was consumed , 82% natural gas and some 18% heavy oil.

Electricity generation is growing quickly in the new century at rates of 7 to 8% a year, due to high increase in demand from all sectors.  By 2020, domestic electricity consumption is expected to grow to 230 TWh, which would require a production of 260 TWh. The contribution from renewable energy sources targeted to attain 20% would signify 52 TWh, of which only 17 TWh could come from hydro and 35 TWh need to come from wind power or solar. The 7200 MW capacity targeted for wind energy need to be complemented if by 1000 or more solar or more wind capacity if the 20% is to be attained, in particular if Egypt increases the export of electricity. Expansion plans: In addition several projects developed by the private sector are

Because of increasing temperature related consumption, peak load is growing even more quickly than total consumption.

 



» Renewable Energy & Energy Efficienct potentials in Egypt's electricity sector

The hydropower potential of Egypt’s Nile is largely exploited. Once the medium sized plants on the Nile river under construction are brought on line, the hydro power capacity will attain 2900 MW and a generation of approximately 16,000 GWh per year. There is some mini and micro hydro potentials to be exploited which will not increase generation significantly. Only if the old ideas of flooding the Qattara Depression or building pump-storage capacity would be revived, more hydropower capacity would be possible. 

Egypt has a very large wind power potential. The NREA wind atlas of Egypt confirms that the wind resources at the Red Sea area are among the best in the world allowing high load factors from the steady high wind speeds between 7 and 10,5 m/s. Here, wind power can be presently generated at cost in the same range as fossil fuel power, if the latter would be prized at world market prices. Good quality wind resources are also given in locations in desert areas at the west and east of the Nile in Beni Suef and Al Minia governorates. The realizable potential in the coming decades amounts to cover more than 35 TWh annually, if the generation and transmission capacities are erected quickly enough.

Egypt has abundant solar power potential, sufficient to produce several times the current power generation. The Solar Atlas was issued in 1991,  indicating that Egypt as one of the sun belt countries is endowed with high intensity of direct solar radiation ranging between 1970 – 2600 kwh / m2 / year from North to South. The sunshine duration ranges from 9 – 11 hours with few cloudy days all over the year.  Presently, cost of electricity from concentrating solar thermal power (CSP) as well as photovoltaic (PV) technologies is still higher than fossil fuel power by a factor of 4 or 5. Only in specific off grid location can small PV power be competitive. It is expected that solar power technology cost fall along the learning curve and fossil fuel power cost increase with higher exhaustible fossil fuel prices and the incorporation of external cost. These expectations have led to a growing interest and concept studies of large scale power production from solar energy resources in Egypt and other MENA countries and exporting power to Europe.

In the individual older oil fired steam power stations, there are still considerable efficiency improvements possible. Overall efficiency in thermal generation is given at 40%, which is relatively high thanks to numerous combined cycle gas stations. Overall consumption in this sector in 2005 could only be reduced by about 3%.

Combined heat, cooling and power would be another technology which would reduce overall fuel consumption. Like industrial cogeneration, this co-production opportunity in urban areas is still neglected in Egypt

Transmission and distribution losses amounted in 2005 to 16%. In addition to improvements in recent years, there are still some percent points of network loss reduction potential, which yield particularly high fossil fuel saving. 1 percent point loss reduction will mean 0.4 Mtoe fossil fuel saved per year in 2020.

 



» Decision making

 While in industry, transportation and residential sectors, energy is considered as one of many input services, in the electricity sector, energy is core business in all parts of the value chain including purchases, production or transformation, transmission, distribution and sales.  Therefore, all decision makers and staff are acquainting with energy matters and efficiency in converting electricity and avoiding losses in the process of transmission and distribution is central to the business.
Energy input being an important cost factor, it is understood that acquisition prices of natural gas and heavy fuel oil in power stations are rather low in Egypt, thanks to subsidies which are granted to companies to make the able to purchase from producers at market prices and sell to electricity generators. 
Because of the intricate relationship between electricity supply companies and the politically responsible Ministry of Electricity and Energy representing the government as the owner of most business entities, the efficiency policy used to be directly implemented via approval of expansion plans, internal regulations, targeted programs on energy input and loss reduction. 
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» Prices & cost, policies and regulations

Average domestic power generation cost with given power generation capacity structure including hydro, nat gas and fuel oil are 2008/09 approximately 300 EGL/MWh, at given fuel prices (equivalent to 30 Euro/MWh) or 400 EGL /MWh (fuel prices at opportunity cost). 
Cash cost of power from nat gas approximately 250 EGL /MWh, due to the very low purchase price of natural gas (1.3 -1.5 USD/MMBtU) for power generators ; Economic cost at current market prices of nat gas 400 – 500 EGL/MWh.
estimated cost on- grid PV in Egypt in the order of  1500 – 2000 EGL/MWh;  estimated cost on- grid CSP in Egypt in the order of  1200 – 1500 EGL/MWh
estimated cost on- grid wind power in the order of 500 – 700 EGL/MWh!!

In the future, once the Egyptian legislators pass the new electricity law, a new institutional framework for the sector will be established and form the basis of more indirect regulation of the electricity sector, where more generation companies are expected to compete.
For renewable energy power generation, various modalities are foreseen to promote financing and development of projects
Concessionalr loans NREA
a new tendering procedure is foreseen and first tenders on wind parks are planned in 2008.
In the medium term, a feed in tariff system is foreseen.


Environmental emission regulations are already in place. Apart from CO2, SO2 and NOx emissions, are concerns in the power stations which operate on heavy fuel oil and natural gas. Unfortunately, in these cases, emission control with FDG and DeNOx increase energy consumption.  
 

 



» International cooperation projects

Hydropower plants at Aswan are rehabilitated with financial assistance (reduced interest loans) from Germany through KfW. Equally, Germany through KfW supports with loans  the new construction of medium size  hydro power stations on the Nile river, including Assiut.

Wind power development has been supported initially by Denmark DANIDA. German KfW has provided loans for a completed wind park in Zafarana and is providing financial assistance to new wind park projects in Gabal El Zeit jointly with EIB. Japans JICA is also offering loans. The total capacity of projects to be financed by concessionary financing and developed by NREA is planned to amount to 2000 MW.

It is expected that the future wind plants can be constructed and operated by private sector investment. These will include CDM and private public partnership schemes in the project financing. World Bank has financed studies to develop a tendering procedure.
New transmission lines will be necessary to connect the wind power plants to the national grid.  These lines will be financed with international financing assistances.
The first solar power facility is since 2008 under construction integrated with a combined cycle gas power plant in Kureimat, south of Cairo. The financing of the solar component of (20 MW CSP field) is assured by a grant from GEF administered by World Bank. The gas component 140 MW is financed by loans from AfDB, and Japans JBIC.

New efficient power stations are constructed with loans from international financial assistance, e.g.
* AfDB, AFESD :  Abu Kir Power station 1300 MW, natural gas CC , Nuweiba (gGulf of Aqaba) power station of 750 MW natural gas CC
* World Bank: El Tebbin Power station, natural gas CC
* EIB El Atf and Sidi Kir Power stations Natural gas CC

KfW with funds from German government has supported the  rehabilitation of fossil power plants increasing their efficiency. 
UNDP, with funds from GEF,  has within the EEIGGR program organized technical assistance to the electricity sector until 2008 for  loss reduction, load management and load shifting (transmission, generating plants, large industries). It also has advocated for CHP in power production and interconnection of CHP to the grid.
With focus on RE & EE industry development in Egypt, private sector arms of international cooperation have been active in Egypt, such as the DANIDA B2B program, the German DEG, the US OPIC and the IFC from World Bank group.
Italy is providing financial assistance to PV based electrification of remote villages.
 

 


 

 

 

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